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Budget size may increase 17pc
Pay, allowance to see significant rise
Rejaul Karim Byron
The upcoming budget may be Tk 63,900 crore in size and this fiscal year's revised budget may be downsized to Tk 55,500 crore from the original Tk 57, 248 crore.
"Both the income and spending may be increased 16 to 17 percent from the revised budget," said a finance ministry official who preferred to remain unnamed.
Finance and Planning Minister M Saifur Rahman is going to propose the national budget in parliament tomorrow for a record 11th time, fourth under the present BNP-led four-party alliance government. The finance ministry is now racing against clock to put final touches to the budget proposal.
Total revenue income for the coming year is going to be raised to Tk 45,720 crore, about 17 percent more than the revised budget, to meet the expenditure.
The budget deficit for the next year may hover around Tk 18,180 crore.
NEW BUDGET
The NBR portion of the total revenue budget may be hiked to Tk 35,650 crore, a 16.88 percent rise against the revised budget for the current fiscal year.
Non-NBR and non-tax portion may be raised to Tk 1,660 crore and Tk 8,410 crore in the upcoming budget.
The annual development expenditure has already been raised to Tk 24,500 crore, which is about 20 percent higher than the revised Annual Development Programme (ADP) of the ongoing fiscal year.
The revenue expenditure may see a 13 percent rise to stand at Tk 39,400 crore. Only the pay and allowance of the public officials would cost the government an additional Tk 10, 600 crore, some 18 percent rise on this year's revised budget.
About Tk 6, 720 crore may be allocated for paying interests on domestic and foreign loans. The government may also borrow Tk 3,630 crore from the banks to offset the budget deficit.
REVISED BUDGET
In the revised budget for the current fiscal year, the total revenue income may be decreased from Tk 41,300 crore to Tk 39,200 crore. In the NBR portion, the original figure of Tk 32,190 crore may be lowered to Tk 30,500 crore.
The non-NBR portion may, however, be left the same as before at Tk 1450 crore, while the non-tax revenue is likely to be cut down from Tk 7,660 crore to Tk 7,250 crore.
Total expenditure in the revised budget may be decreased from Tk 57,248 crore to Tk 55,500 crore. The ADP has already been re-fixed at Tk 20,500 crore from Tk 22,000 crore.
The revenue expenditure is likely to be lowered from Tk 35,248 crore to Tk 35,000 crore. Expenditure for pay and allowance of the government officials may rise about 9 percent from Tk 8,218 crore to Tk 9,000 crore.
The government' borrowing from the banks for deficit financing was originally earmarked at Tk 2,599 crore, but it may be spiked to Tk 3,600 crore.
WHAT'S THERE IN THE BUDGET?
The government plans to make public the resource and expenditure plans of four line ministries in the coming budget. Besides, it may also announce when it would go public with the plans of the other ministries.
The safety net programme may be broadened in the coming budget. A new programme for the disabled people may be there. Again, a special programme may also be included for the people exposed to Monga or near-famine.
The government is not going to give subsidy on diesel, but it may subsidise interests on farm loans. The budget may have a provision for the banks giving the farmers loan at a low interest rate, about 2 to 3 percent, and the government will pay the banks back later on.
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